Trade Talk

November 5, 2026

India's rabi beginnings/
A slow start for seedings, a kharif decline for mung and urad, and tight supplies of global LSKB

India's rabi beginnings: India's rabi beginnings / A slow start for seedings, a kharif decline for mung and urad, and tight supplies of global LSKB

Luke Wilkinson

Head Writer

At a glance


  • Late-season rains have affected both the quality and quantity of India's kharif urad crop, while moisture stress threatens mung production in Rajasthan.
  • November planting progress will be critical in determining whether chickpea acreage can recover from its delayed start.
  • Tight international availability of light speckled kidney beans is adding to import costs, with Indian buyers potentially exploring alternative origins and varieties.

The government is targeting 1.5 MMT of kharif urad and 2 MMT of mung. What are your estimates, and how much did late rains damage the crops?

Acreage tells us what was planted. Weather determines what survives. The market ultimately trades what is harvested.

Despite approximately 12% higher kharif urad acreage, late-season rains have caused both quantitative and qualitative damage. Trade feedback suggests that in certain affected areas, harvesting costs may exceed the realisable value of the damaged crop, potentially leaving some acreage unharvested. I see the 1.5 MMT target as difficult to achieve.

For mung, Rajasthan is the major concern. The state produces around 66% of India's green mung beans and received approximately 22% below-normal monsoon rainfall, including deficits of 21% in July and 33% in August. Western Rajasthan experienced even sharper moisture stress, affecting pod formation, grain filling and yield potential. With acreage around 3–4% lower than last year, the 2 MMT target also looks challenging.

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Domestic pulse availability will depend on the outcome of India's kharif harvest and rabi sowing season.

India may need to increase pulse imports if domestic production falls short of demand.

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