Trade Talk

June 25, 2026

Australia doubles down on pulses/
Extra rains boost desi prospects, while lentil subsoils look promising ahead of El Niño threat

Australia doubles down on pulses: Australia doubles down on pulses / Extra rains boost desi prospects, while lentil subsoils look promising ahead of El Niño threat

Luke Wilkinson

Head Writer

At a glance


  • Extra rains across northern New South Wales and Queensland are reshaping Australia’s chickpea outlook, lifting production estimates above official forecasts despite an initially dry start to the season.
  • Strong soil moisture in southern growing regions is underpinning a positive lentil outlook, with yields seen strong enough to keep total output potentially above 2 MMT.
  • With acreage still well above the five-year average and El Niño risks in focus, Australia’s pulse sector is balancing short-term weather volatility against longer-term structural growth in rotations and global demand.

Great to chat with you again, Abhishek! Can you tell us how the Australian chickpea production looks this year?

The season started very dry, especially in Northern New South Wales and Queensland. There's not enough moisture for the growers to go in with chickpeas, so a lot of growers were reluctant. In the last three or four weeks, there have been patchy rains across Northern New South Wales and Queensland, which means there'll be some additional hectares going in on top of what ABARES has already forecasted. I'm expecting another 100 hectares (ha) to 200 ha.

Even with those extra rains, the soil moisture profile in Northern New South Wales and Queensland needs follow-up rain, as well as finishing rain. I'm expecting around 1.4 to 1.5 MMT of chickpeas this year. It's a significant drop compared to last year's crop (around 2.1/2.2 MMT) with the main reason that NSW and QLD have been very dry. Hectares have already been impacted but yields could be impacted too unless there is some consistent rain and follow-up rain. 

ABARES has forecasted about 1.1 MMT, but due to the extra hectares I think it will be higher. 

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Kotkar believes that chickpea production will be between 1.4 and 1.5 MMT this year, above the ABARES estimate of 1.1 MMT. 

Consistent rains across South Australia and Victoria are setting up a strong lentil season, with the potential for the crop to exceed 2 MMT.

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