Market Updates

AgPulse Analytica market update/
Lentil market dynamics shift from surplus to scarcity in mere months


Gaurav Jain

Contributor

At a glance


  • Canadian supplies are at 1.684 MMT, a 14-year low, due to low opening stocks and reduced yields
  • Australia expects another bumper crop, which should quickly be absorbed by Asian markets
  • India’s sizable lentil demand is under further pressure from low domestic pigeon pea production and soaring food prices

 
In the world of agriculture, rapid shifts in supply and demand can send shockwaves through markets, and the lentil industry is no exception. Over the past few months, we've witnessed a remarkable transformation from ample lentil supplies to a situation of unprecedented tightness. Several key factors have converged to reshape the lentil landscape, with potential price hikes looming on the horizon.

Canadian Supplies: A 14-Year Low

According to the latest data from StatsCan, the 2022/23 marketing year ended with a total lentil stock of 147 KMT (119 KMT commercial and 28 KMT on-farm). This is against a backdrop of a lentil harvest that stood at 1.537 MMT. When we combine these figures, it's evident that total lentil supplies have hit a 14-year low, resting at 1.684 MMT.

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